Last time, you got to see my predictions and Jason's predictions for Congress.
Tonight let's look at Other Races and October Surprises.
First, here's a look at my predictions in other races.
11 Contested Governor's races (the number correct/11 for up to 1 point):
No net change.
Percentage of the popular vote that Gregoire (D) wins or loses by in Washington State (closest prediction gets 1 point; ties split):
49.8%
Percentage of the popular vote that Rossi (R) wins or loses by in Washington State (closest prediction gets 1 point; ties split):
48.9.%
In October Surprises:
Will Osama bin Laden release a message?
Yes.
Will the U.S. or Israel attack on Iran (Yes/No, worth 1 point):
No.
Presidential or Vice Presidential candidate removed from ticket or incapacitated (Yes/No, worth 1 point):
No.
I actually think that there will be no net change in the governor's races across the country. This will be the underplayed story of the day. To be fair, it'll be easy to bury under the news of the presidential election and the competitive races in the House and Senate.
Here's Jason's predictions in the same categories.
11 Contested Governor's races (the number correct/11 for up to 1 point):
Dems win
in WA, MT, MO, WV, NC, DE, NH. GOP wins in UT, ND, IN, VT.
Percentage of the popular vote that Gregoire (D) wins or loses by in
Washington State (closest prediction gets 1 point; ties split):
51.3%
Percentage of the popular vote that Rossi (R) wins or loses by in
Washington State (closest prediction gets 1 point; ties split):
48.7.%
In October Surprises:
Will Osama bin Laden release a message?
No.
Will the U.S. or Israel attack on Iran (Yes/No, worth 1 point):
No.
Presidential or Vice Presidential candidate removed from ticket or incapacitated (Yes/No, worth 1 point):
Yes.
With regards to Other Races, Jason said, "I wish I could predict that Mitch Daniels would lose his reelection bid in Indiana, but I can’t. But Jay Nixon winning in MO will just about make up for it."
Amen, brother. Here's hoping you're right and I'm wrong.
With regards to October Surprises, he said, "While I think an Al Qaeda message is likely (at least one), Osama bin Laden will not be joining the party this time around, and while many are agitating for an attack on Iran, I don’t think the U.S. is prepared to act right now (and has told Israel not to act either). And finally, indulge me in the flight of fancy that Palin will still be removed from the ticket."
I wish I could've gone there with regards to the Palin removal scenario, but I just can't. I think being 27 days to Election Day, we're too close. Replacing her at this point wouldn't accomplish anything, I think, mostly because there is just not enough time to introduce the country to someone new.
As for terrorist messages, well, I follow Jason's logic. Still, I think bin Laden is an sick, twisted egomaniac, and he won't be able to resist staying off the national stage. Don't misunderstand me -- I'd love to be wrong here and never see another message from that bastard again.
Check back again soon for more categories. Follow along and see how we do on Election Day.
Bin Laden may have already made a statement; the government is just waiting to release it closer to the election. We can't have the American people getting comfortable...we must keep up the scare tactics so we can have four more years of...well you know.
Also, watch the gas prices. Funny how they are dropping as Nov. 4th approaches. See, we aren't really paying more at the pump, that is a liberal media talking point. By the way, gas is $2.93 here in Tulsa. No joke!
Posted by: Crystal | October 09, 2008 at 09:26 AM