Wednesday, August 29, 2012
Ben -
Well, rarely do things involving politics go exactly as you would expect. The 10 PM hour of the Republican National Convention did just that last night. It started with Ann Romney giving a universally applauded speech. She spoke of love, basement apartments, family struggle, real marriage and of triumph. She sought to humanize Mitt, to paint him not just as an empty, expensive suit, but rather as a father, a husband, a man who has risen to incredible success based on hard work, commitment and a good heart. She did quite an effective job of asking the American people to count on Mitt as she and her family have for 47 years. And honestly, it is hard to argue that Mitt has come through for his family. They certainly have lived the American dream to the fullest. Without coming out and saying it, she did the "chicken in every pot" message for Mitt. Other than snark, I have yet to hear a negative word about the speech, the optics, the moment, or anything else. @SpencerianRed, of course, called it a home-run.
And then we have Chris Christie. Divisive, self-congratulatory, pompous and condescending - he was almost a comical stand-in for the other side of the GOP story. You know, the one that Ann just peeled Mitt away from. In fact, in a moment that probably angered writers from the Onion, Christie's central theme argued directly against Ann's. If you had to describe Ann's speech in one word, it would have been love. Christie, no joke, said this: "sometimes you have to choose respect over love." Uh, Governor, I am not sure what you were doing back there in the green room, but I think you just stepped on something - and it was wearing a red dress.
Christie's argument for Romney - when he finally got to it 16 minutes into the speech - basically was about making the hard choices that bring progress. He talked of politicians seeking respect and results instead of status and adulation. He firmly separated an "us" from a "them". Un-ironically, he actually said "We win when we make it about what needs to be done. We lose when we play along with their game of scare and divide." In a total reverse of the thesis of the first fifteen minutes, apparently he considers himself a loser.
The take-your-medicine speech was quite interesting in the abstract. In some ways, it came from a decade of presidents and leaders telling us not to sacrifice, but to shop. It came from the last GOP president's failure to call for collective sacrifice in a time of war and economic downturn. It came from a spiraling debt built by a monstrous budget deficit built from a lack of political courage on both sides of the aisle. But courage is not about saying something harsh. Courage cannot look backward. Courage is about stepping forward. And there was some nod to that - talk of "taking our country back" and of "big problems with not-painless solutions" and more. But no real idea of what that would mean. In a way, this speech was almost part 1 of 2.
Which leads us to tonight's headliner, @PaulRyanVP. If you look at the Christie speech as the setup to Ryan, it makes more sense. To quote him from his very slick intro video, he was sent to do a job, not be elected prom king. If you look at the accusations and scare-mongering in the light of how Democrats are attempting to paint Paul Ryan, it makes sense to have Christie be that messenger. He isn't on the ticket. He's already perceived to be an ass. He can say mean things because we expect him to... and it frees Paul Ryan up to offer the solutions. Jersey in your face gives way to midwestern manners - though the message is the same, the messenger makes the difference. Christie said it so Ryan doesn't have to.
The Washington Post writes today that the GOP is winning the race to define Ryan. Tonight will be a key moment in that race. Will Ryan be the futurist or the Granny killer? Will Ryan be the fresh face unafraid of real solutions or the regressive social darwinist?
If anything, Chris Christie's keynote set him up for success. We'll see if he can capitalize on it. My guess would be that our twitter feeds will not give us the answer. @SpencerianRed will be fawning and triumphal. @SpencerianBlue will be combative and dismissive.
In a way, it is brilliant. If they can pull it off. I know the Red side is all sorts of pumped up for tonight. What are you hearing out in the Blue?
Best,
Matt

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Thursday, August 30, 2012
Ben -
I am glad you didn't get a chance to respond to yesterday's email because the only thing I like less than being wrong is having someone else point it out to me. And my predictions for Paul Ryan's speech were wrong. My point about the @christiekeynote speech serving as part 1 of 2 for @PaulRyanVP, allowing the latter to be positive - was wrong. Dead wrong. In accepting the nomination, Ryan did not holster his weapons and portray a positive message. Though the daggers were launched with a smile and an "aw shucks" manner, they were thrown nonetheless. Paul Ryan played the traditional VP attack dog role with vigor.
On the other hand, I love being right. And I think that the standout quote of the night fit right in with something I have been saying all along - Ryan and the GOP think that there is a generational opportunity to exploit. They think that there is room to peel the support of the under 40 crowd away from Obama. The headline quote that had the pundits punditing was this:
"College graduates should not have to live out their 20s in their childhood bedrooms, staring up at fading Obama posters and wondering when they can move out and get going with life."
Boom. Right there is the message - economy, failed hope/hype, student debt, jobs crisis, etc. all rolled into one strong image. If Ryan can stay in this lane, stick to this general point, he will certainly do some damage to the Obama brand - and the Obama base. I'm not sure that polling can get an accurate picture of what the under 40 vote will look like in November but what we do know is that Obama dominated it in '08. Can he again in '12?
I have to say, though, that as a whole, it was a strange speech. I haven't seen this in other places, but I felt that there was a very odd son/father vibe to Ryan's description of his relationship with Mitt. It sure didn't sound like a partnership of equals where the VP was ready to step in if needed. It was more like an heir with a seat in the boardroom that he didn't quite fit into yet. And that surprised me. It wasn't what I expected.
Perhaps asking Ryan to step away from policy details left him without a crutch of comfort. Perhaps his desire to be deferential to the nominee just came off awkwardly. I'm not sure what happened, but I was definitely not overwhelmed nor overly impressed. And that surprised me a little.
In places, the speech even got a little weird. A couple of times Ryan referred to "government planners" or "central planners", as if he was in some post-apocalyptic sci-fi world government story. Just strange.
I do have to say, however, that he did a better job of framing Mitt - his successes, his religion, his record - than almost any I have seen. Here's what he said:
Mitt Romney and I both grew up in the Heartlands, and we know what places like Wisconsin and Michigan look like when times are good. We know what these communities look like when times are good, when people are working, when families are doing more than just getting by, and we know it can be that way again. We have had very different careers, mine mainly in public service, his mostly in the private sector. He helped start businesses and turn around failing ones, and by the way being successful in business, that's a good thing.
Mitt -- Mitt has not only succeeded, but he has succeeded where others could not. He turned around the Olympics at a time when a great institution was collapsing under the weight of bad management, overspending and corruption. Sounds kind of familiar, doesn't it?
He was the Republican governor of a state where almost nine in 10 legislators are Democrats and yet he balanced the budget without raising taxes. Unemployment went down. Household incomes went up, and Massachusetts under Governor Mitt Romney saw its credit rating upgraded.
Mitt and I also go to different churches, but in any church, the best kind of preaching is done by example, and I've been watching that example.
The man who will accept your nomination is prayerful and faithful and honorable. Not only a defender of marriage, he offers an example of marriage at its best. Not only a fine businessman, he is a fine man, worthy of leading this optimistic and good-hearted country.
Pretty good.
@SpencerianRed, of course, ate the speech up. As John Cassidy from the New Yorker put it - the Cheesehead brought the red meat. He faced Obama down and called him out. He even dinged the W. administration a bit. He had some nice one-line attacks that I am sure we will hear again. Here are the three biggies:
They have no answer to this simple reality: We need to stop spending money we don't have.
The man assumed office almost four years ago. Isn't it about time he assumed responsibility?
and
They have run out of ideas. Their moment came and went. Fear and division is all they've got left. With all of their attack ads the president is just throwing away money.
And he is pretty experienced at that.
Red meat for sure. And the convention audience ate it up. The larger question remains whether or not the voters in Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, Florida, New Hampshire, Nevada, North Carolina, Virginia and Colorado will. I think the jury is still out on that one.
So, in many ways, last night offered a traditional VP speech. Appeal to the base, attack the opponent and build up the top of the ticket. The question for tonight is whether the top of the ticket can cash in... We shall see. My expectations are pretty low. And to top it off, the convention planners made an almost inexplicable decision. They placed Jeb Bush on the final day of the convention. How many people do you think will make the point that they wish it would have been him speaking at the end instead of Mitt? If Jeb brings the house down, the bar will be almost impossibly high for Mitt. Tonight should be interesting.
So what are you hearing from @SpencerianBlue?
Best,
MBS

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Thursday, August 30, 2012
Matt --
First of all, I owe an apology to you and to our readers. If there was one night I should have been "on" it was last night -- and it just wasn't to be.
That said, I do hope folks enjoy the now-extremely popular guest post from Kevin King on the Romney/Ryan ticket's total lack of foreign policy experience (at a dangerous, changing time in our world), as well as the great interview I managed to get with Josh Shulman, who is running for State House in the new District 69.
With respect to @SpencerianBlue, most folks seem pretty intent on doing whatever it takes to foster what looks to be a growing mainstream media consensus that Paul Ryan's speech was, well, pretty much one big lie.
A quick word about Governor Christie, though, before we get back to Ryan, and certainly tonight's main event. I've never gotten it. I mean, I get it... sort of. He's brash. If he was southern, they'd call him "plainspoken." He cusses at members of the media. He's not a traditionally good-looking politician. (In fact, he's always reminded me a bit of Vincent Pastore, who played Big Pussy from The Sopranos).
All of this combines to make him, apparently, charismatic. Charismatic politicians are nothing new, but the thing about a politician is, charisma or no, they have to deliver something. And if you held a gun to my head -- speaking of The Sopranos -- I'm not sure I could tell you what Governor Christie has delivered to the people of... New Jersey, is it?
As I followed along the Spencerian Blue feed, it was interesting to see them sort of using Governor Christie's sub-par speech -- truly, "you have to choose respect over love"? It really is an episode of The Sopranos with this guy -- as a springboard to attack Ryan.
I'm not sure how the Republicans are going to feel about the Convention as Mitt finally takes the stage and they prepare to wrap up.
Objectively, you'd have to give it a C, maybe a C-minus. Hell, maybe a D. I mean, they lose a whole grade in my book for the two idiots who threw peanuts at an African American camerawoman for CNN and shouted rude, racist phrases at her. They lose points as well for predicating the theme of the Convention -- "We Built That" -- on a quote taken out of context. They lose more points for poor strategic placement of signage. Optics, people:

Matt, I made myself a promise at the start of this Convention: that I would take a moment to stop and reflect on events which led us here. Think about that for a minute. Remember the protracted primary? This is the natural continuation of that long, embarrassing process.
I can't really say I have a lot of hope that the next two months will be much different.
As we wind down, how are folks taking the man at the top of the ticket? Just checking in with Spencerian Blue, now, the fact check teams are going nuts.
Best to Erin and the boys.
Oh, and I'll be better about my responses.
BJK

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Welcome to a special Republican Convention Edition of Into the Echo Chamber, the weekly electronic conversation of the 2012 presidential campaign as viewed from two Twitter feeds. Matt Spence is monitoring the Twitterverse of the Romney Campaign, Republicans, and the "red" side of the aisle at @SpencerianRed. I am monitoring the tweets of the Obama Team, Democrats and the blue team using @SpencerianBlue. Our email-based back-and-forths are normally posted here on Thursdays.
For the week of the Republican Convention, we will be attempting to post one exchange per day. Stay tuned.
You are, as always, invited to join the discussion, either in the comments below or by emailing Spencerian Red or Spencerian Blue.