by Benjamin J. Kirby
I haven't yet offered a full prediction on how I think things are going to go on Election Day.
Last time I did that -- in 2008 -- I got my ass kicked by the Jason Rothstein, a worthy adversary if ever there was one.
I made a lot of goofy predictions in '08 -- a mistake I'm pretty sure I'll make again. But first, can I just ask you a general question on polling: what kind of reputable organization would pull out of Florida, North Carolina, and Virignia, claiming that "Obama can't win there"?
Suffolk University pollster David Paleologos, whose polls are aggregated into mainstream averages to show where the presidential race stands in the swing states, said he’s finished polling in Florida, North Carolina and Virginia because President Obama has no shot of winning those states.
“I think in places like North Carolina, Virginia and Florida, we’ve already painted those red, we’re not polling any of those states again,” Paleologos said Tuesday night on Fox’s "The O’Reilly Factor." “We’re focusing on the remaining states.”
Wait... "The O'Reilly Factor"?
Seriously? That guy is still around?
You know what? Nevermind on the question... I already know.
Not to lend this creep Paleologos any more creedence than he deserves, but you can kind of understand North Carolina, where Romney is breaking away pretty effectively.
But Virginia? It's a statistical tie, with Obama trending up.
Florida? I'm no statistician, but I see a small gap closing there, fast -- including an Obama lead in some new polls.
I don't know what Paleologos and his crew are tyring to drive by pulling out of states where it is literally neck and neck (yes, I do).
That alone is reason enough for Team Obama to want to win Florida.
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